Henry Cejudo vs TJ Dillashaw Odds Preview – January 19 2019
As we head towards the New Year, 2019 promises to be one of the best for the UFC division and for many fight fans, it all begins on January 19. UFC Fight Night 143 gets underway at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York and there are some great match ups in prospect right through the card.
The bill carries nine fights in total, starting with a lightweight clash between Donald Cerrone and Alexander Hernandez while there is an important women’s flyweight battle between Paige Van Zant and Rachael Ostovich. It’s a packed night with some thrilling bouts in prospect but it all builds up to the main event and this highly anticipated men’s flyweight showdown between two of the best fighters in any UFC weight class.
The sportsbooks have a clear favourite in this battle with TJ Dillashaw leading the way at odds of 1/2 with William Hill and Unibet. It’s a figure that leaves Henry Cejudo on offer at a top industry price of 13/8 with Betway but can we expect an upset in Brooklyn or have the odds setters called this one correctly?
The tale of the tape shows that Cejudo has 13 wins from his 15 pro MMA fights and that record includes five by knockout and eight by decision. Included in the overall tally are two defeats – one by knockout and one by decision.
When we move over to TJ Dillashaw, we find that his record is quite similar with 16 wins from 19 fights. Of those victories, eight have been by knockout with three additional submissions and five wins by decision. The American has suffered three defeats in his career – two by knockout and one by decision.
At first glance, they look to be very evenly matched. Records are similar as we have seen and there is little to split the two men in terms of age with just a few months between them. Dillashaw has fought better opponents, he is marginally more experienced and is a worthy favourite but at the very least, this battle could be a lot closer than the odds setters are suggesting.
Other Betting Options
When this preview was written, only one market was available and that was for the straight result of this fight. In the days that follow, that situation will change and we would be particularly interested in the Fight to go the Distance bet.
As we’ve seen from their respective records, a relatively high percentage of their fights have been settled by decision and moving into this battle next January, that is a bet to strongly consider in the days leading up to UFC Fight Night 143.
The Method of Victory bet should also be considered carefully when it becomes available and with a strong percentage of bouts going the distance, we think it’s a case of backing one man to win it on a decision. That suggestion follows strong trends but the question for now is, which of the two men will prevail?
The bookmakers have given us their own opinion but is it a simple case of going for the favourite here? The credentials for TJ Dillashaw are hard to ignore but at the very least, he looks uncomfortably short at that 1/2 mark. He can be beaten as we have seen and there is certainly a case for backers of the outsider Henry Cejudo and while he is the outside option in the straight result market, anything can happen in a one off battle such as this.
We would really prefer to stick with any prop bets that come up for this but if pushed to name a winner, we will side with the odds setters and add the name of TJ Dillashaw to our betslip. It’s going to be a harder battle than the bookmakers are suggesting and we fully expect it to go the distance. There should, therefore, be more value in any side markets that come along but for now, if you want to make a modest profit, Dillashaw is your man.
Best Bets for Cejudo vs Dillashaw
- TJ Dillashaw to win at 1/2 with William Hill
- The Fight to Go the Distance – bet YES when market becomes available